Category: Investor Briefs

RR StockSense

• While relatively weak sector performance over the last 30 days is notable given loosening government restrictions, it may reflect the expiration of stimulus benefits which provided a tailwind over the previous 3 months.
• In any case, the tech sector’s performance (Olo, PAR Tech & Grubhub) was propelled by Olo’s post IPO strength.

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1Q:21 Investor Call Analysis

• Results for 1Q21 were very positive as the industry slowly, but surely gets back to normal.
• Off-premise seems able to retain elevated sales levels even as the sit-down business returns.
• An acceleration in digital adoption is not only improving convenience, but also operator efficiency.
• Labor & food inflation continue to be a major concern.

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RR StockSense 4Q:20

• Stock prices in the restaurant/grocery space have come-off their 52-week highs as investors pause to better assess long-term fundamentals in the new world.
• All-the-same, stock recoveries from their 52-week lows are substantial.

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4Q20 Investor Call Analysis

● The industry continued an uneven recovery as healthy consumer demand for dine-in occasions was interrupted by vacillating government dine-in restrictions which tightened at year-end.
● Fortunately, restrictions began to ease again at the start of 2021 and, despite some uncooperative weather, 1Q dine-in comps seem to be back on track for recovery.
● QSR had a great year as any chain with a drive-thru made-out ok.

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RR StockSense – January 2021

QSR names continue to benefit from an asset-light model which insulate these companies from store-level margin compression. This segment also benefits from healthy post-lockdown performance as strong drive-thru and digital access solutions translate into solid valuation multiples with many stocks trading close to their 52-week highs.

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